The Coming Television Revolution
by: Terry Mitchell
The revolution is just getting started and will begin
to make its mark this year. By 2010, it will begin to
take off. By 2025, it will be the standard for all TV
viewing. It's called Internet Protocol Television, or
IPTV for short. IPTV works with a set-top box connected
to any broadband interface and to a TV. It will allow
users to choose among thousands (and eventually hundreds
of thousands) of hours of programming, including movies,
sports, classic TV, etc., and download their selections
from the internet to the hard drive of the set-top box.
Initially, set-top box hard drives will be able to store
up to 300 hours of programming at a time, but capacity
will expand as the technology becomes more refined.
Also, download times will become shorter and shorter as
broadband connection speeds become faster and faster.
Eventually, a two-hour movie will be fully downloadable
in a couple of minutes. Once the programs are downloaded
to the hard drive, they can be viewed on the connected
TV at any time via a DVR-type interface provided by the
set-top box.
Besides the convenience of an all video-on-demand (VOD)
environment, IPTV will provide a much wider range of
programming than broadcast, cable, and satellite TV, or
even major video chains, could ever provide. Because the
programming is available from the internet, it will be
almost completely unlimited and unconstrained.
Programming from all over the world will be available
along with every imaginable genre of niche programming.
Also, previously unreleased independent films that have
been sitting on shelves for years due to the lack of a
distribution source will suddenly become available to
the masses via IPTV. Films that previously could not be
made at all will become a reality and be available on
the IPTV services. Long forgotten films and TV shows
will have new life breathed into them by IPTV. To top it
all off, much of this programming will be eventually be
available in high definition (HDTV)!
Most IPTV platforms will be divided into "channels",
but not the same kind of channels that we have grown
accustomed to with traditional TV services. In this
case, a "channel" is defined as a division of an IPTV
service by individual content provider. Each content
provider carried by a given IPTV platform will have its
own guidelines for delivering programming on its
channel. Some will provide their content for free to
everyone who owns a given IPTV product. Some will be
subscription based, i.e., everything on their channels
will be available for a monthly or annual subscription.
Others will be all pay-per-view. Still others will
provide a combination of all of the above.
Several entrants into this market have either already
debuted or plan to debut sometime this year. Among those
are Akimbo (www.akimbo.com),
DAVETV (www.dave.tv), TimeShifTV (www.timeshiftv.com),
and VCinema (www.vcinema.com).
Please see their respective websites for more details,
as each one will offer a slightly different variation of
IPTV technology. In addition, a joint venture between
TiVo (www.tivo.com)
and NetFlix (www.netflix.com)
will be starting up later this year. TiVo plans to
eventually make the entire Netflix DVD library available
to its customers on an on-demand basis via a broadband
connection to a TiVo box and a TV. Other potential IPTV
contenders will be announcing their intentions over the
next year or two. One of these nascent IPTV services
headquartered near my home has already started placing
"help wanted" ads in my local newspaper.
Within the next 20 years, all the fuss over broadcast
TV indecency will become irrelevant, as there will be
very little other than news and live sporting events on
broadcast TV. The major networks will shift most of
their entertainment programs to IPTV to avoid all the
broadcast content restrictions currently being enforced
by the FCC. Eventually, broadcast TV will cease to
exist. Cable and satellite services as we know them will
also become extinct. Yes, there will still be cable and
satellite platforms, but they, along with DSL and
wireless internet services, will exist merely as
conduits for bringing broadband internet into homes and
offices. There won't be any more cable and satellite TV,
per se. The now 60-year-old paradigm of television
schedules in which programs air at specific times on
specific days of the week will pretty much be a thing of
the past. Everything, except what's left of broadcast
TV, will be exclusively available on demand via an IPTV
platform.
These developments in no way mean that all TV
programming will become more risqué. While there will be
plenty of risqué programming available to those who want
it, there will an almost unlimited supply of family and
religious programs available. With a veritable
smorgasbord of entertainment options at your fingertips,
there will be something available for all tastes. IPTV
may not turn out to be a TV utopia, but it's at least
going to come close that ideal.
About The Author
Terry Mitchell is a software engineer, freelance writer, and trivia
buff from Hopewell, VA. He also serves as a
political columnist for American Daily and operates
his own website -
http://www.commenterry.com - on which he posts
commentaries on various subjects such as politics,
technology, religion, health and well-being,
personal finance, and sports. His commentaries offer
a unique point of view that is not often found in
mainstream media.
terrymitchell@verizon.net |
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